The Labour Party was on course to secure a landslide general election win on Thursday 4th July 2024, dethroning the Conservative Party after 14 years in power.
Keir Starmer is expected to be formerly appointed as Prime Minister. Rishi Sunak has conceded defeat.
"I am sorry. I take responsibility for the loss," Sunak said in a televised address to his supporters in Richmond and Northern Allerton.
This marks the end of a long Conservative dominance that began in 2010 under David Cameron and continued through the leaderships of Theresa May, Boris Johnson, and Rishi Sunak.
Sunak's defeat, however, didn't come as a surprise, according to sources. It was the culmination of widespread public dissatisfaction over the handling of key issues and the renewed appeal of Labour's platform under Starmer's leadership.
Out of the 650 seats declared by press time, Starmer's opposition party leads with 412 seats against the Conservatives' 120. The Liberal Democrats come in a distant third position with 71 seats.
As the Tories come to terms with their devastating defeat, let's dig deeper into several factors that could have contributed to the historic loss.
Brexit, inflation & Covid-19
Firstly, the Conservative Party has been in a compromising situation since Johnson was forced to step down in September 2022.
Johnson, who assumed office in July 2019, faced criticism that his economic policies were inadequate or poorly managed, especially in response to challenges such as Brexit, the COVID-19 pandemic, and rising inflation.
Britain's exit from the European Union contributed to economic uncertainty, with several quarters raising concerns about its potential negative effects on businesses, investment, and jobs.
Some critics argue that prior to this, the government did not adequately prepare for the potential economic and social impacts such as fears about disruptions to trade, supply chains, and the economy at large.
Johnson's 'Partygate' scandal, involving gatherings of government and Conservative Party staff during the COVID-19 pandemic amid restrictions on gatherings, also eroded public trust in the Conservatives.
Johnson's departure, however, did little to redeem the ruling party, as his successor, Truss, resigned just six weeks into her tenure. Truss' short-lived premiership has been linked to her failure to address Britons' concerns about inflation, despite campaigning on a platform promising "growth'.
The UK inflation rate was 2% percent in May 2024, the lowest since April 2021. Between September 2022 and March 2023, the UK experienced seven months of double-digit inflation, which peaked at 11.1 percent in October 2022.
Sunak's efforts to stabilize the party after the leadership turmoil experienced during Boris Johnson's and Liz Truss's tenures, and to revive the economy, did not sufficiently restore voter confidence.
Mismanagement of public services
The Conservatives are widely perceived to have mismanaged public services, including the National Health Service, education, and other essential services.
According to the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), from June 2020, the elective waiting list, which comprises patients waiting to receive non-urgent treatment or surgery, started rising rapidly, increasing by an average of 80,000 per month up to December 2023.
Rise of Reform UK
The resurgence of Nigel Farage's Reform UK party split the right-wing vote, drawing support away from the Conservatives. This further weakened their electoral base and allowed Labour to gain ground in constituencies that traditionally belonged to Conservatives.
Farage, the driving force behind Britain's Brexit movement, secured a parliamentary seat in Britain on his eighth attempt, winning 46.2% of the vote in the heavily pro-Brexit Clacton.
Labour's Renewed Appeal
Under Starmer's leadership, the Labour Party repositioned itself as a more moderate and less controversial option compared to the Conservatives. This strategic shift helped Labour appeal to voters who were critical of the party's more radical stance during Jeremy Corbyn's tenure. Corbyn led the Labour Party from 2015 to 2020.
Wycliffe Nyamasege
